climpred.metrics._contingency

Contents

climpred.metrics._contingency#

climpred.metrics._contingency(forecast, verif, score='table', dim=None, **metric_kwargs)[source]#

Contingency table.

Parameters:
  • forecast – Raw forecasts.

  • verif – Verification data.

  • dim – Dimensions to aggregate.

  • score (str) – Score derived from contingency table. Attribute from Contingency. Use score=table to return a contingency table or any other contingency score, e.g. score=hit_rate.

  • observation_category_edges (array_like) – Category bin edges used to compute the observations CDFs. Bins include the left most edge, but not the right. Passed via metric_kwargs.

  • forecast_category_edges (array_like) – Category bin edges used to compute the forecast CDFs. Bins include the left most edge, but not the right. Passed via metric_kwargs

Example

>>> category_edges = np.array([-0.5, 0.0, 0.5, 1.0])
>>> HindcastEnsemble.verify(
...     metric="contingency",
...     score="table",
...     comparison="m2o",
...     dim=["member", "init"],
...     alignment="same_verifs",
...     observation_category_edges=category_edges,
...     forecast_category_edges=category_edges,
... ).isel(lead=[0, 1]).SST
<xarray.DataArray 'SST' (lead: 2, observations_category: 3,
                         forecasts_category: 3)>
array([[[221,  29,   0],
        [ 53, 217,   0],
        [  0,   0,   0]],

       [[234,  16,   0],
        [ 75, 194,   1],
        [  0,   0,   0]]])
Coordinates:
    observations_category_bounds  (observations_category) <U11 '[-0.5, 0.0)' ...
    forecasts_category_bounds     (forecasts_category) <U11 '[-0.5, 0.0)' ......
  * observations_category         (observations_category) int64 1 2 3
  * forecasts_category            (forecasts_category) int64 1 2 3
  * lead                          (lead) int32 1 2
    skill                         <U11 'initialized'
Attributes:
    units:    None
>>> # contingency-based dichotomous accuracy score
>>> category_edges = np.array([9.5, 10.0, 10.5])
>>> PerfectModelEnsemble.verify(
...     metric="contingency",
...     score="hit_rate",
...     comparison="m2c",
...     dim=["member", "init"],
...     observation_category_edges=category_edges,
...     forecast_category_edges=category_edges,
... )
<xarray.Dataset>
Dimensions:  (lead: 20)
Coordinates:
  * lead     (lead) int64 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Data variables:
    tos      (lead) float64 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9091 ... 1.0 1.0 1.0 nan 1.0
Attributes:
    prediction_skill_software:     climpred https://climpred.readthedocs.io/
    skill_calculated_by_function:  PerfectModelEnsemble.verify()
    number_of_initializations:     12
    number_of_members:             10
    metric:                        contingency
    comparison:                    m2c
    dim:                           ['member', 'init']
    reference:                     []
    score:                         hit_rate
    observation_category_edges:    [ 9.5 10.  10.5]
    forecast_category_edges:       [ 9.5 10.  10.5]