climpred.metrics._msess_murphy¶
-
climpred.metrics._msess_murphy(forecast, verif, dim=None, **metric_kwargs)[source]¶ Murphy’s Mean Square Error Skill Score (MSESS).
![MSESS_{Murphy} = r_{fo}^2 - [\text{conditional bias}]^2 - [\frac{\text{(unconditional) bias}}{\sigma_o}]^2,](../_images/math/0a55b3353736d4242c818418f976099ccf115507.png)
where
represents the Pearson product-moment correlation
coefficient between the forecast and verification data and
represents the standard deviation of the verification data over the experimental
period. See conditional_biasandunconditional_biasfor their respective formulations.- Parameters
forecast (xarray object) – Forecast.
verif (xarray object) – Verification data.
dim (str) – Dimension(s) to perform metric over.
metric_kwargs (dict) – see
pearson_r(),
- Details:
minimum
-∞
maximum
1.0
perfect
1.0
orientation
positive
- Reference:
Murphy, Allan H. “Skill Scores Based on the Mean Square Error and Their Relationships to the Correlation Coefficient.” Monthly Weather Review 116, no. 12 (December 1, 1988): 2417–24. https://doi.org/10/fc7mxd.